Wednesday, July 22, 2015

US home sales surged in June to fastest pace in 8-plus years

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WASHINGTON (AP) -- Americans bought homes in June at the fastest rate in over eight years, pushing prices to record highs as buyer demand has eclipsed the availability of houses on the market.


The National Association of Realtors said Wednesday that sales of existing homes climbed 3.2 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.49 million, the highest rate since February 2007. Sales have jumped 9.6 percent over the past 12 months, while the number of listings has risen just 0.4 percent.

The median home price has climbed 6.5 percent over the past 12 months to $236,400, the highest level - unadjusted for inflation - reported by the Realtors.
Home-buying has recently surged as more buyers have flooded into the real estate market. Robust hiring over the past 21 months and an economic recovery now in its sixth year have enabled more Americans to set aside money for a down payment. But the rising demand has failed to draw more sellers into the market, limiting the availability of homes and sparking higher prices that could cap sales growth in the coming months.

"The recent pace can't be sustained, but it points clearly to upside potential," said Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.

Nationally, a mere five months' supply of homes was on the market in June, compared with 5.5 months a year ago and an average of six months in a healthy market.

Some markets are barely adding any listings. The condominium market in Massachusetts contains just 1.8 months' supply, according to a Federal Reserve report this month. The majority of real estate agents in the Atlanta Fed region - which ranges from Alabama to Florida - said that inventories were flat or falling over the past year.

Some of the recent sales burst appears to come from the prospect of low mortgage rates beginning to rise as Fed officials consider raising a key interest rate from its near-zero level later this year. Past efforts by the Fed officials to reduce their stimulus efforts have led to higher mortgage rates, creating expectations that homebuyers will face increased borrowing costs later this year.

That possibility is prompting some buyers to finalize sales before higher rates make borrowing costs prohibitively expensive, noted Daren Blomquist, a vice president at RealtyTrac, a housing analytics firm.
The premiums that the Federal Housing Administration charges borrowers to insure mortgages are also lower this year, further fueling buying activity, Blomquist said.

It's also possible that more homebuyers are aggressively checking the market for listings, enabling them to act fast with offers despite the lack of new inventory.

"Buyers can more quickly be alerted of new listings and also more conveniently access real estate data to help them pre-search a potential purchase before they even step foot in the property," said Blomquist, adding that this could help to explain why sales growth have dramatically outpaced new listings so far this year.

Properties typically sold last month in 34 days, the shortest time since the Realtors began tracking the figure in May 2011. There were fewer all-cash, individual investor and distressed home sales in the market, as more traditional buyers have returned.

Sales improved last month in all four regions: Northeast, Midwest, South and West.
Still, the limited supplies could prove to be a drag on sales growth in the coming months.
Ever rising home values are stretching the budgets of first-time buyers and owners looking to upgrade. As homes become less affordable, demand will likely taper off.

Home prices have increased at more than three times the pace of wages. The average hourly wage has risen just 2 percent over the past 12 months to $24.95 an hour, according to the Labor Department.
Some would-be buyers are also spurning their limited options on the market. Tony Smith, a real estate broker in Charlotte, North Carolina, said some renters shopping for homes are now choosing instead to re-sign their leases and wait until a broader and better selection of properties comes onto the market.

Construction has yet to satisfy rising demand, as builders are increasingly focused on the growing rental market.

Approved building permits rose increased 7.4 percent to an annual rate of 1.34 million in June, the highest level since July 2007, the Commerce Department said last week. Almost all the gains came for apartment complexes, while permits for houses last month rose only 0.9 percent.
The share of Americans owning homes has fallen this year to a seasonally adjusted 63.8 percent, the lowest level since 1989.

Real estate had until recently lagged behind much of the six-year rebound from the recession, hobbled by the wave of foreclosures that came after the housing bubble began to burst roughly eight years ago.

But the job market found new traction in early 2014. Employers added 3.1 million jobs last year and are on pace to add 2.5 million jobs this year. As millions more Americans have found work, their new paychecks are increasingly going to housing, both in terms of renting and owning.
Low mortgage rates have also helped, although rates are now starting to climb to levels that could slow buying activity.

The average 30-year fixed rate was 4.09 percent last week, according to the mortgage giant Freddie Mac. The average has risen from a 52-week low of 3.59 percent.

Monday, November 17, 2014

Monday Market Watch







Monday Market Watch

The economic news this week contained few surprises. The major data, the US Retail Sales report and third quarter Eurozone Gross Domestic Product (GDP), came in very close to expectations. As a result, mortgage rates ended the week with little change.

One other US report released this week has been gaining in prominence since Fed Chair Yellen said that she watches it closely as a labor market indicator. This report, called JOLTS, measures job openings and labor turnover rates. The data showed that job openings in September remained near the 13-year high reached in August.

Another component of the report measures the rate at which employees voluntarily leave their jobs, and this "quit rate" rose from 1.8% to 2.0%, which was the highest level since April 2008. A higher quit rate is viewed as a sign of a stronger labor market, since employees generally are less likely to quit a job if they are not reasonably confident that they can get a new job. Taken together, the strong readings for job openings and quit rates point to continued improvement in the labor market.

The situation in Ukraine has faded from the headlines in recent weeks, but attention returned to the area this week. Officials from Ukraine claimed that Russia has been sending an increasing number of tanks and other military supplies into Ukraine, contributing to greater violence in the regions controlled by the rebels. Russian officials have continued to deny doing this. As outside observers seek to discover more information, this latest news has had little lasting influence on mortgage markets so far, but it serves as a reminder that geopolitical concerns could become a factor at any time. If the conflict in Ukraine escalates, it could cause investors to shift to safer assets, which would be favorable for bonds and interest rates. Conversely, an easing of tensions would have the opposite effect.

Next week, the most highly anticipated economic release will be the FOMC Minutes from the October 29 Fed meeting. These detailed Minutes provide additional insight into the debate between Fed officials. In addition, the Producer Price Index (PPI), which focuses on the increase in prices of "intermediate" goods used by companies to produce finished products, will come out on Tuesday. The Consumer Price Index (CPI), the most closely watched monthly inflation report, will come out on Thursday. CPI looks at the price change for finished goods which are sold to consumers. The NAHB Housing index, Housing Starts, and Existing Home Sales also are on the schedule for next week.



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Copyright @ 2014 MBSQuoteline

Monday, November 10, 2014

Monday Market Watch





   Market Recacp
 
The main story this week was the important monthly Employment report, which showed that wage inflation remains low. The European Central Bank (ECB) made no change in policy and had little impact on US markets. After a quiet four days, Friday's Employment data caused mortgage rates to improve and end the week a little lower.

Against a consensus forecast of 235K, the economy added 214K jobs in October. Revisions to prior months added 31K jobs. The economy has added an average of about 220K jobs per month so far this year, which is the fastest pace in over ten years. The Unemployment Rate declined to 5.8%, the lowest level since July 2008. Average Hourly Earnings, an indication of wage increases, were just 2.0% higher than one year ago. Bottom line, the job gains were roughly in line with expectations, but the low level of wage inflation was favorable for mortgage rates.

The results of this week's elections were largely as expected with the Republicans gaining control of the Senate and adding to their majority in the House. There was little immediate market reaction. So, will a Congress lead by the GOP mean that changes are coming for the mortgage market? The general belief is that there will be no significant changes any time soon, and probably not before the next Presidential election. The continuing conservatorship of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is the biggest industry issue Congress needs to address, but the complexity of any substantive reform and the significance of Fannie and Freddie to the housing market make this a very difficult issue.

Next week will be a light one for economic events. The JOLTS report, measuring job openings and labor turnover rates, will come out on Thursday. Retail Sales, which account for roughly 70% of economic activity, will be released on Friday. There will be Treasury auctions on Monday, Wednesday, and Thursday. Mortgage markets will 

be closed on Tuesday in observance of Veterans Day.






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Copyright @ 2014 MBSQuoteline

Thursday, December 12, 2013

4314 Swan Frst - San Antonio, TX :: Gated Community and Move In Ready!!



 Move In Ready! Come out and visit this beautiful two story home in the established gated community of Pecan Valley Heights. Upon entering you will find wood laminate flooring downstairs. A Large Master Bedroom & plenty of space w/ a multi-closet arrangement. Large back yard with patio & privacy fence is perfect for entertaining or just relaxing in the evenings. Easy access to all major highways, Ft. Sam Houston, Eagle Ford Shale, Randolph AFB, Texas A&M, Mission Trails, Baptist Hospital, and City Base.


Monday, December 9, 2013

San Antonio Condo Sales on the rise, TAR reports!


San Antonio may have been a bit behind the condominium trend, but it appears we may be making up for lost time, according to the 2013 Texas Condominium Sales Report released by the Texas Association of Realtors (TAR).

Using data from the The Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University, TAR reports that between January 2013 and September 2013, 469 condominiums were sold in San Antonio. That figure marks a 18 percent increase from the number of condos sold over the same period of time in 2012.

At present, condominiums in San Antonio are spending an average of 113 days on the market — a 23 percent decline from the average posted a year ago.

The average price of a condominium in San Antonio as of September 2013 was $159,776 — an 11 percent jump from the average price posted in 2012.
The San Antonio snapshot is representative of the rising trend in condominium sales throughout Texas’ major metros.

“All types of housing are in demand in Texas,” says TAR Chairman Shad Bogany. “Given the rapid job and population growth across Texas’ major metro areas as well as our state’s shrinking housing inventory, it’s no surprise condo sales are playing an increasingly important role in the Texas housing market.”

The rising tide of condo sales in San Antonio is particularly significant, given that homebuyers here have been slow to embrace the concept.

Visit our website to start your Condo and Home search TODAY!  www.TorresRealtyGroup.com

By: Tricia Lynn Silva

Thursday, May 2, 2013

First quarter 2013 sets aggressive pace for Texas real estate




Today, the Texas Association of REALTORS® released the 2013-Q1 edition of the Texas Quarterly Housing Report, showing surging demand for Texas homes at the start of the year as well as rising prices and shrinking inventory. Fueled by Texas’s population and job growth, the report bodes well for the summer selling season.
Shad Bogany, chairman of the Texas Association of REALTORS®, commented: “2012 was a strong year for Texas real estate and, based on these first-quarter results, 2013 looks to be even stronger. We’ve heard a lot about the growth of Texas and now we’re starting to really see the impact on our real estate market.”
As featured in the report, 53,937 single-family homes were sold in Texas in the first quarter of 2013, which is 17.53% more than the same quarter of the prior year. Of the 48 markets included in the report, 40 markets featured increases in sales, indicating the surge is broad-based throughout the state.
The median price for Texas homes in 2013-Q1 was $158,000, which is 7.04% more than the first quarter of 2012. In the same timeframe, the average price was $204,718 – that’s 6.87% more than 2012-Q1. The median price for Texas homes has steadily increased, exceeding or matching the price of the prior year every quarter since the Texas Quarterly Housing Report began in 2009.
“Historically, the median price for Texas homes has increased about four percent each year and we usually see the biggest jump in price between the first and second quarters,” said Jim Gaines, Ph.D., economist with the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University. “So, with price increases already in the range of seven percent in the first quarter, we could see Texas homes increase in value significantly this year.”
However, Gaines also offered a strong caution, “We’ll only realize our potential for increased sales volume if more sellers enter the market and start listing their properties, increasing the inventory of homes for sale.”
In first quarter 2013, the market featured 4.2 months of inventory, which is 1.7 months less than the prior year. That is significantly less than the 6.5 months of inventory cited by the Real Estate Center as a market in which the supply of homes is balanced with demand.
Gaines explained, “There is clearly demand for Texas homes and rising prices are encouraging more homeowners to consider listing their properties. However, if a homeowner wants to move up, they must be able to find a property to move to, so more supply is needed to capture the growth potential in the market.”
Gaines continued, “In the coming months, I expect we’ll start to hear national news reports about increasing sales in other markets, possibly exceeding those in Texas. That’s because other markets boomed in the mid-2000s and busted in the late 2000s, meaning they need dramatic increases in sales volume and price to recover. I call that an ‘echo boom’ and it’s more indicative of market fluctuations than fundamentals. That never happened in Texas, so the increases you’re seeing in our state are indicative of true increases in demand, driven by population growth. Assuming we continue to add jobs as we have recently, that will make our increases more sustainable.”
The Texas Association of REALTORS® has been working to help the state absorb that growth, advocating for homeowners at the Texas Capitol during the current legislative session. Texas REALTORS® have advanced ideas on improving infrastructure for transportation and water in the state as well as consumer-protection provisions in the property-tax loan industry, mortgage lending, and the property-appraisal process. The 83rd Texas Legislature regular session ends May 31.
Chairman Bogany concluded, “The word is out that Texas is a great place to live and these results are further evidence of that. Now, Texas REALTORS® are on a mission to ensure that remains the case and help our state provide for the needs of its homeowners today and far into the future.”
The Texas Quarterly Housing Report is issued four times per year by the Texas Association of REALTORS® with multiple listing service data compiled and analyzed by the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University.

About the Texas Quarterly Housing Report

Data for the Texas Quarterly Housing Report is analyzed by the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University using statistics compiled from 48 multiple listing services in markets throughout Texas. The report includes data for single-family home sales over the course of one quarter and is scheduled for release by the Texas Association of REALTORS® on the following dates each year (or the next business day): Feb. 1, May 1, Aug. 1, and Nov. 1. This report is issued to the media, local REALTOR® organizations, and published on the Texas Association of REALTORS®’ consumer Web site, TexasRealEstate.com.

About the Texas Association of REALTORS®

With approximately 80,000 members, the Texas Association of REALTORS® is a professional membership organization that represents all aspects of real estate in Texas. We advocate on behalf of Texas REALTORS® and private-property owners to keep homeownership affordable, protect private-property rights, and promote public policies that benefit homeowners. Visit TexasRealEstate.com to learn more.